You be the Pundit

[admin]

See the above post and recalculate.

[proschool]

admin said:

Also you have Brookdale and Gombert at the new HS. It is either one or the other but not both.

I saw that. All of McCarty is going to WVHS becasue that is what CV wants and that is where she is from. That freed up enough room for Brookdale. From ther it just becomes PSII Lite and I have already posted the numbers on that. Brookdale at WVHS will just put the pressure on WV in the end. i ahve already shown you how the southern elementary schools cannot fill up Nv without both springbrook and Fry unless you crowd the elementary schools beyond reason.

[admin]

Watts total capacity is 850? There are only 535 kids there right now?

Owen 850? vs current enrollment is 568

Gombert 650 vs enrollment of 497.

Something is wrong.

Current enrollment taken from report cards.

[admin]

This is actual k-5 school enrollment vs your total capcity number

• Cowlishaw 606 850
  
  
• Gombert 497 650
  
  
• Longwood 414 450
  
  
• Owen 568 850
  
  
• Watts 534 850
  
  
• Total 2619 3650
  
  
  

I think somewhere in all of your models that some capacity number got messed up.

[proschool]

admin said:

This is actual k-5 school enrollment vs your total capcity number

• Cowlishaw 606 850
  
  
• Gombert 497 650
  
  
• Longwood 414 450
  
  
• Owen 568 850
  
  
• Watts 534 850
  
  
• Total 2619 3650
  
  
  

I think somewhere in all of your models that some capacity number got messed up.

Add White eagle (850) and Brookdale(450). I don't care about present enrollment numbers because all schools will need to take as many students as they can hold in the end.

[admin]

Choose one Brookdale or Gombert?

Double check your capacity numbers? If your 93% capacity numbers are wrong then your whole model is wrong.

These schools can't be running at 66% capacity.


I put WE in so k-5 there are now 3266 kids k-5. Assuming a 850 capacity plus your numbers there are 4500 seats. That means there 1234 missing seats and the schools are running at 72% capacity.

[wvhsparent]

proschool said:

admin said:

This is actual k-5 school enrollment vs your total capcity number

• Cowlishaw 606 850
  
  
• Gombert 497 650
  
  
• Longwood 414 450
  
  
• Owen 568 850
  
  
• Watts 534 850
  
  
• Total 2619 3650
  
  
  

I think somewhere in all of your models that some capacity number got messed up.

Add White eagle (850) and Brookdale(450). I don't care about present enrollment numbers because all schools will need to take as many students as they can hold in the end.

I think Brookdale has a capacity of 650 not 450

[larry]

proschool said:

admin said:

This is actual k-5 school enrollment vs your total capcity number

• Cowlishaw 606 850
  
  
• Gombert 497 650
  
  
• Longwood 414 450
  
  
• Owen 568 850
  
  
• Watts 534 850
  
  
• Total 2619 3650
  
  
  

I think somewhere in all of your models that some capacity number got messed up.

Add White eagle (850) and Brookdale(450). I don't care about present enrollment numbers because all schools will need to take as many students as they can hold in the end.

Why do you think that? I believe the total is 7 grade schools are showing a decreased enrollment over the last 4 years, with no reason to believe that will suddenly reverse. The most extreme is Patterson, which dropped 200 in total enrollment over that period according to their former principle.

[proschool]

admin said:

Choose one Brookdale or Gombert?

Double check your capacity numbers? If your 93% capacity numbers are wrong then your whole model is wrong.

These schools can't be running at 66% capacity.


I put WE in so k-5 there are now 3266 kids k-5. Assuming a 850 capacity plus your numbers there are 4500 seats. That means there 1234 missing seats and the schools are running at 72% capacity.

But they are . Students are in the south empty seats are in the north. They would have never taken a north seat before because they were afraid of going to WV.

Since it is illogical to put a school on a bus someone somewhere will have to get on the bus and take a seat in the north at one time or another.

The whole point is that if elementary distribution is fair then the enrollements in ProTo and PSII and PSII lite will fall into place.

At the same time the district enrolment projections will overcrowd the third high school and Fry or Springbrook will have to go back to NV.

I find that scary because my kids will be at the 3rd HS and I am afraid that Fry won't want to leave.

If you keep Brookdale or Gombert at Wv then the same overcrowding will happen at WVHS.

The alternative is accepting severly overcrowed elementary schools in the NV attendance area while ther are plenty of seats available elsewhere.

[proschool]

Really if the NV's will accept severe overcrowding I will perfectly happy to send my kid to a school where all the students come from elementary schools that only run at 77% capacity.

I think that would be great but I don't think its going to happen.

[admin]

All previous scenarios didn't show Fry at the new HS.

The new HS grades schools has 4134 students k-5

that avg 689 per grade putting in 2756 in the HS.

Giving Fry a capacity of 900 and using the rest of your numbers the complete capcaity is 5400 seats. Meaning there are 1266 empty seats in these schools.
Also, the schools using your capacity are running at
76.56.



Current enrollment in the 7 grade schools feeding the new HS 4134 for k-5 avg of 689 per class


If you even say that the popualtion increase 20% over the current which is a huge leap of faith

4134*1.2=4906 / 6 grades =826.8 * 4 HS classes =3307 at the new HS if enrollment is increased 20* over current levels. Which is about what is in NV as we speak.

The capacity numbers are wrong.

[proschool]

admin said:

All previous scenarios didn't show Fry at the new HS.

The new HS grades schools has 4134 students k-5

that avg 689 per grade putting in 2756 in the HS.

Giving Fry a capacity of 900 and using the rest of your numbers the complete capcaity is 5400 seats. Meaning there are 1266 empty seats in these schools.
Also, the schools using your capacity are running at
76.56.



Current enrollment in the 7 grade schools feeding the new HS 4134 for k-5 avg of 689 per class


If you even say that the popualtion increase 20% over the current which is a huge leap of faith

4134*1.2=4906 / 6 grades =826.8 * 4 HS classes =3307 at the new HS if enrollment is increased 20* over current levels. Which is about what is in NV as we speak.

The capacity numbers are wrong.

If your okay with leaving the seats empty at the 3rd HS feeder elementary while theNV feeder schools are packed beyond reason I am fine with it. We wiil enjoy the elbow room. Thank you very much. In five years those in the south will be begging for what we have.

Just as long as you know what you are getting into.

[admin]

There won't be anymore elbow room at NV then the new HS
because your total capacity numbers are wrong.
Have you doubled checked your capacity # vs what the SB states?

First you stated that NV will be empty and the 3rd HS will be overcrowded, now you are saying the opposite?

[proschool]

admin said:

There won't be anymore elbow room at NV then the new HS
because your total capacity numbers are wrong.
Have you doubled checked your capacity # vs what the SB states?

First you stated that NV will be empty and the 3rd HS will be overcrowded, now you are saying the opposite?

Toph:

I assume 10,200 kids in 10,200 high school seats so that's no elbow room for anyone in the high school period. But when it gets to that level what will be the populations of the feeder elementary schools? NV feeders will be loaded and 3rd feeders will be nice and roomy. Like I said I am fine with that. After this I will let you have the last word on this.

[admin]

I have a feeling tha tthis will pass by a small margin. The hostilties will subside and when people sit down they will realizevoting yes is the thing to do.