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Post by bob on Sept 28, 2007 7:32:24 GMT -6
Here is last year's numbers
PK 238
k 1988
1 2358
2 2259
3 2324
4 2213
5 2292
ES 13434
6 2330
7 2383
8 2170
MS 6883
9 2139
10 2086
11 1916
12 1769
HS 7923
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Post by lacy on Sept 28, 2007 8:06:36 GMT -6
Where are this year's?
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Post by bob on Sept 28, 2007 8:08:33 GMT -6
Inside a Cristopher Cross album cover in Howie's old safe. |
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Post by gatormom on Sept 28, 2007 8:08:51 GMT -6
As far as I know, last I heard, not available yet. Have you asked anyone who would know? |
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Post by gatordog on Sept 28, 2007 8:13:13 GMT -6
Thank you bob for summarizing enrollment. Take any chunk of 4 yrs...such as 3rd-6th, thats 9159. Thats three high schools worth of students.
The go-foward choices after BB verdict changes NOTHING about the communities careful consideration of the need for a 3rd HS.
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Post by lacy on Sept 28, 2007 14:06:09 GMT -6
Inside a Cristopher Cross album cover in Howie's old safe. Will HC be at Monday's meeting wearing a Cristopher Cross concert shirt too? How will I tell you 2 apart??  |
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Post by doctorwho on Sept 28, 2007 14:09:34 GMT -6
Inside a Cristopher Cross album cover in Howie's old safe. Will HC be at Monday's meeting wearing a Cristopher Cross concert shirt too? How will I tell you 2 apart?? ouch ! that's gonna leave a mark -hahaha ;D |
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Post by dpc on Sept 28, 2007 19:21:18 GMT -6
Here is last year's numbers PK 238 k 1988 1 2358 2 2259 3 2324 4 2213 5 2292 ES 13434 6 2330 7 2383 8 2170 MS 6883 9 2139 10 2086 11 1916 12 1769 HS 7923 This year's 6th day revised numbers from the district and increase/decrease versus last year using bob's numbers above: K 1821 -167 1 2199 -159 2 2360 101 3 2258 -66 4 2326 113 5 2221 -71 6 2301 -29 7 2344 -39 8 2362 192 9 2126 -13 10 2075 -11 11 2028 112 12 1857 88 ES 13185 -249 MS 7007 124 HS 8086 176 28278 51 Assuming stable progression from year to year, the HS peak will be at 9228 kids (current grades 5-8) which is nowhere near the 10,400 the districts projections to sell the 3HS referendum. |
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Post by bob on Sept 28, 2007 19:35:25 GMT -6
Wasn't there 3 projections?
The laughable NIU (10,400) one, a SD one and a referendum committee one.
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Post by EagleDad on Sept 28, 2007 19:36:47 GMT -6
Thanks for those numbers DPC.
But I'm curious, what would your project the 30 day numbers to be compared to the 6 day? Do you think they will be up? down? by how much? take a guess.
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Post by warriorpride on Sept 28, 2007 19:48:50 GMT -6
Wasn't there 3 projections? The laughable NIU (10,400) one, a SD one and a referendum committee one. From a 204 email that I saved during the referendum: We are on pace to have the two largest high schools in the state with approximately 5,000 students each. I couldn't find anything more detailed, with a quick look, but the weren't the approximate projected capacity numbers NV 4000, WV 3000, and MV 3000? So, the 10,000 seems to be what the SB was projecting & targeting. |
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Post by dpc on Sept 29, 2007 7:30:47 GMT -6
Wasn't there 3 projections? The laughable NIU (10,400) one, a SD one and a referendum committee one. The school district and referendum committees have always stated that HS enrollment will exceed 10,000 in the near future. This is a snippet from one of the 204 the kids marketing flyers: If the Referendum Fails!
District 204 will be left with two 5000 + student Mega High Schools by 2009, the two largest single building high schools in Illinois. Students will be forced to attend split shifts |
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Post by dpc on Sept 29, 2007 7:33:53 GMT -6
Wasn't there 3 projections? The laughable NIU (10,400) one, a SD one and a referendum committee one. The school district and referendum committees have always stated that HS enrollment will exceed 10,000 in the near future. This is a snippet from one of the 204 the kids marketing flyers: If the Referendum Fails!
District 204 will be left with two 5000 + student Mega High Schools by 2009, the two largest single building high schools in Illinois. Students will be forced to attend split shifts Here's a snippet from the district website relating to the 3HS: Mega High Schools
The Board of Education has questioned what is a student's experience like when they attend a high school with 5,000-plus students. |
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Post by dpc on Sept 29, 2007 7:39:51 GMT -6
Wasn't there 3 projections? The laughable NIU (10,400) one, a SD one and a referendum committee one. And here is yet another snippet from the district websiteon 3HS: Superintendent's Message
As the district faces overcrowding in its middle and high schools, the Board of Education continues to discuss the space challenge and works to solve the problem.
The board began this process by studying enrollment projections. They concluded that the district expects to see an enrollment range of 7,300 to 8,000 students at the middle school level and 9,700 to 10,400 at the high school level over the next 10 years. |
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Post by bob on Sept 29, 2007 9:27:39 GMT -6
DPC, you differences are 1st grade class of this year vs 1st grade class of next year.
The K picked up over 200 kids from k -1 .
Then now
k 1988 2199
1 2358 2360
2 2259 2258
3 2324 2326
4 2213 2271
5 2292 2301
ES 13434
6 2330 2344
7 2383 2362
8 2170 2126
MS 6883
9 2139 2075
10 2086 2028
11 1916 1857
12 1769
Now the projections probably had Ashwood being built full out along with the rest of any unbuilt area. The housing bust will put a damp on those projections. I think we will be in a 9000-9400 range from here on out.
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